Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?: Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?

74%Before 2030

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 4 outcomes

24h volume$0

Total volume$345

Liquidity$0

Open interest$200

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesJan 1, 2030in 3 years

First seenSep 25, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	80¢	125	$125	+$25 1.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?: Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?
74% Before 2030$0 24h volume
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Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?: Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in AI