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Election hub

Midterm Elections 2026

Live 2026 midterm election odds from prediction markets: House and Senate control and every race, combined across venues on one page.

7,195 markets across venues · 244 races

Election Day

Nov 5, 2026

days
03
hours
14
minutes
44

until Election Day

Explore the map

Select a state to see every race and market in it.

Solid DToss-upSolid RUnrated

Every race · Senate

Every race
RaceCandidatesDemocrat's chanceRating24h24h volume
Adam Hamilton 51%Roger Marshall 50%51%50%Toss-up0$374.4K
Ashley Hinson (R) 56%Josh Turek (D) 46%45%55%Toss-up1$1.4M
Troy Jackson (D) 69%Susan Collins (R) 33%68%32%Likely D0$927K
James Talarico 69%Ken Paxton 32%68%32%Likely D2$5M
Mary Peltola (D) 71%Dan Sullivan (R) 31%70%30%Likely D3$795.2K
Sherrod Brown (D) 71%Jon Husted (R) 31%70%30%Likely D2$1M
Darline Graham 73%Annie Andrews 28%28%72%Likely R1$435.6K
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82%Mike Rogers (R) 20%81%19%Likely D5$1.8M
Cindy Hyde-Smith 89%11%89%Solid R0$60.2K
Ashley Moody 89%Angie Nixon 11%11%89%Solid R1$289K
Julia Letlow 90%Jamie Davis 10%10%90%Solid R1$51.4K
Peggy Flanagan (D) 91%Michele Tafoya (R) 10%91%9%Solid D0$474.1K

Biggest moves

  1. 01IA · At least 44%3%88
  2. 02FL · Byron Donalds, 14-16%3%78
  3. 03MI · At least 54%75%69
  4. 04Windmill26%60
  5. 05TX · At least 4%10%60
  6. 06Other1%49

Next to be decided

  1. Nov 1, 2026Texas99%
  2. Nov 1, 2026California98%
  3. Nov 1, 2026Ohio97%
  4. Nov 1, 2026Nebraska1%
  5. Nov 1, 2026Illinois1%
  6. Nov 1, 2026Virginia2%
  7. Nov 1, 2026Arizona1%
  8. Nov 1, 2026Mississippi3%

Everything on this event

The desk's sections, busiest first. Open one for its full list.

How this page is madeThe desk chooses which questions an event's page gathers and how they are grouped; their prices, moves and volume are the index's, as on each question's own page. A race is rated by the Democrat's probability: solid at 85 % or more, likely at 65 %, lean at 55 %, a toss-up between 45 % and 55 %, and the same bands for the Republican below. Which party a question's Yes stands for is confirmed by the desk from the question's own words; a race without one is unrated. A state's House colour is its closest labelled district. Market prices are not certainties.

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