Category

Economy

Every question filed under Economy, ordered by money at risk.

#
01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Economypriced by 1 of 2
47%Yes21 pts
02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Economypriced by 1 of 2
53%Yes21 pts
03Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate
Economy
51%Fed maintains rate22 pts
04Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?11%In Dec 20261 pts
05Will the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee raise The upper bound target range of the federal funds rate at its October 2026 decision?
Economy
49%Yes21 pts
06How many Fed rate cuts in 2026 — 0 (0 bps)
Economy
71%Yes0 pts
07Fed decision in Jul 2027?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting? Fed maintains rate
Economy
76%Fed maintains rate8 pts
08Fed decision in Oct 2027?: Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2027 meeting? Cut >25bps
Economy
4%Cut >25bps0 pts
09Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting? Hike 25bps
Economy
47%Hike 25bps22 pts
10Unemployment in September: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in September?
Economy
94%Above 3.9%1 pts
11Will the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee leave unchanged The upper bound target range of the federal funds rate at its October 2026 decision?
Economy
51%Yes22 pts
12Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?45%Yes7 pts
13Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY): Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in November 2026?
Economy
23%Above 3.9%14 pts
14Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY): Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in November 2026?
Economy
10%Above 4.1%6 pts
15Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY): Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in September 2026?
Economy
38%Above 3.6%1 pts
16Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY): Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in November 2026?
Economy
44%Above 3.8%1 pts
17Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY): Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in November 2026?
Economy
14%Above 4.0%10 pts
18CPI core in October: Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in October? Above 0.2%
Economy
56%Above 0.2%11 pts
19Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY): Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in September 2026?
Economy
3%Above 3.8%0 pts
20Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Economypriced by 1 of 2
96%Yes1 pts
21Fed decision in Sep 2027?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2027 meeting? Fed maintains rate
Economy
70%Fed maintains rate2 pts
22Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Economy
48%Yes0 pts
23Fed decision in Oct 2027?: Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting? Cut 25bps
Economy
9%Cut 25bps2 pts
24CPI core in September: Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in September? Above 0.1%
Economy
72%Above 0.1%2 pts
25Unemployment in September: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in September?
Economy
70%Above 4.0%0 pts
26Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Economypriced by 1 of 2
87%Yes4 pts
27How high will inflation get this year?: Inflation surge in 2026? At least 4.5%
Economy
26%At least 4.5%1 pts
28US gas prices this week: Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3200? Above 4.320089%Above 4.32008 pts
29How high will US gas prices get in 2026?: Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?63%Above $4.603 pts
30Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? Exactly 0 cuts
Economy
94%Exactly 0 cuts1 pts