Category

Science

Every question filed under Science, ordered by money at risk.

#
01Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?
Science
9%Yes2 pts
02Hurricane Fay category?: Will Fay become a Category 2 hurricane? Category 2 or above
Science
3%Category 2 or above2 pts
03Hurricane Nolo category?: Will Nolo become a Category 5 hurricane? Category 5 or above
Science
2%Category 5 or above54 pts
04Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?52%Yes2 pts
05What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Fay be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?
Science
2%Fay2 pts
06Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?
Science
20%Yes3 pts
07IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?4%Yes1 pts
08Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record — 3
Science
10%Yes0 pts
09Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
Science
59%Yes21 pts
10Rain in Chicago in Sep 2026? Above 4 inches16%Above 4 inches14 pts
11Rain in Dallas in Sep 2026? Above 1 inch
Science
15%Above 1 inch23 pts
12Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in September?
Science
7%Yes3 pts
13This Sep 2026 is the hottest September ever?: Will Sep 2026 be the hottest Sep ever? Hottest ever
Science
3%Hottest ever0 pts
14Hurricane Rachel category?: Will Rachel become a Category 2 hurricane? Category 2 or above
Science
83%Category 2 or above13 pts
15Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?27%Yes7 pts
16Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?67%Yes0 pts
17Hurricane Lala category?: Will Lala become a Category 4 hurricane? Category 4 or above
Science
86%Category 4 or above2 pts
18Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?15%Yes35 pts
19Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Sciencepriced by 1 of 2
3%Yes0 pts
20How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 12 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026? Above 12
Science
2%Above 1231 pts
21Will Nolo peak at Category 4?
Science
96%Yes43 pts
22Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?: Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Science
67%Hottest5 pts
23Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?8%Yes4 pts
24Rain in Seattle in Sep 2026? Above 7 inches
Science
2%Above 7 inches1 pts
25Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?41%Yes1 pts
26Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?77%Yes40 pts
27Will Nolo peak at Category 5?
Science
4%Yes11 pts
28Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Sciencepriced by 1 of 2
71%Yes3 pts
29Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
Science
1%Yes0 pts
30Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
Science
35%Yes22 pts