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Science

Where Will 2026 Rank Among the Hottest Years on Record? — 2nd

14%Yes
2 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. Where Will 2026 Rank Among the Hottest Years on Record? — 1st83%1
  2. Where Will 2026 Rank Among the Hottest Years on Record? — 2nd · this question14%2
  3. Where Will 2026 Rank Among the Hottest Years on Record? — 5th Or Lower2%0
  4. Where Will 2026 Rank Among the Hottest Years on Record? — 3rd2%0
  5. Where Will 2026 Rank Among the Hottest Years on Record? — 4th2%0
24h volume$372
Total volume$2.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesMar 16, 2027in 5 months
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Down 62 points on Oct 14Down 12 points on Oct 20Up 12 points on Oct 21Down 15 points on Oct 22Up 9 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket US80¢125$125+$25 1.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 10:12 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.