| 01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?World🇮🇷Iran🇺🇸United Statespriced by 1 of 2 | 15%Yes | ↑2 pts | | $377.6K | 2 | | |
| 02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics🇮🇷Iran🇺🇸United Statespriced by 1 of 2 | 29%Yes | ↓7 pts | | $212.8K | 2 | | |
| 03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? World | 4%Yes | ↓3 pts | | $126.9K | 1 | | |
| 04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Worldpriced by 1 of 2 | 22%Yes | ↓2 pts | | $109.7K | 2 | | |
| 05 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | 10%Yes | ↓3 pts | | $97K | 1 | | |
| 06 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?World🇮🇷Iran🇺🇸United Statespriced by 1 of 3 | 14%Yes | ↓2 pts | | $80.6K | 3 | | |
| 07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 61%Yes | ↑3 pts | | $78.1K | 1 | | |
| 08 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | 4%Yes | ↑1 pts | | $72K | 1 | | |
| 09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | 16%Yes | ↓2 pts | | $70.9K | 1 | | |
| 10 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | 74%Yes | ↓4 pts | | $62.7K | 1 | | |
| 11 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | 5%Yes | ↑1 pts | | $58.1K | 1 | | |
| 12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?World🇮🇷Iran🇺🇸United Statespriced by 1 of 3 | 57%Yes | ↓3 pts | | $57.7K | 3 | | |
| 13 | US-Iran nuclear deal?: Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? Before Nov 1, 2026 | 4%Before Nov 1, 2026 | ↓1 pts | | $55.4K | 1 | | |
| 14 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Germany? | 4%Yes | — | | $52.2K | 1 | | |
| 15 | Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026? Before Dec 1, 2026 World | 9%Before Dec 1, 2026 | ↓4 pts | | $46.6K | 1 | | |
| 16 | Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? | 20%Yes | — | | $41.3K | 1 | | |
| 17 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?World🇨🇳China🇹🇼Taiwanpriced by 1 of 2 | 3%Yes | →0 pts | | $41.2K | 2 | | |
| 18 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | 36%Yes | →0 pts | | $39.5K | 1 | | |
| 19 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 70%Yes | ↓12 pts | | $37.2K | 1 | | |
| 20 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | 8%Yes | ↓1 pts | | $35.9K | 1 | | |
| 21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? World | 13%Yes | ↓2 pts | | $32.1K | 1 | | |
| 22 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | 12%Yes | ↑1 pts | | $27.5K | 1 | | |
| 23 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?World🇮🇷Iranpriced by 1 of 2 | 7%Yes | →0 pts | | $26.7K | 2 | | |
| 24 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...: December 31 Worldpriced by 1 of 2 | 18%Yes | ↓2 pts | | $25.2K | 2 | | |
| 25 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | 12%Yes | ↓2 pts | | $25.1K | 1 | | |
| 26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 84%Yes | ↓1 pts | | $24.2K | 1 | | |
| 27 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | 14%Yes | ↓1 pts | | $24K | 1 | | |
| 28 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? World | 8%Yes | ↓2 pts | | $21.6K | 1 | | |
| 29 | Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027? Before Jan 1, 2027 World | 20%Before Jan 1, 2027 | ↑1 pts | | $20K | 1 | | |
| 30 | Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | 10%Yes | ↓1 pts | | $19.8K | 1 | | |