Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
15%Yes
2 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$377.6K
Total volume$70.2M
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?86% No$377.6K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- LimitlessWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?86% Nono volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
More in World
- 1US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?29%Yes6 pts
- 2Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?4%Yes3 pts
- 3Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?22%Yes2 pts
- 4 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?10%Yes3 pts
- 5US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?14%Yes3 pts
As of Sep 29, 05:23 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.