Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record — 3
10%Yes
0 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
No probability history yet
24h volume$3.3K
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months
First seenSep 13, 2026
Watching0
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- OpinionWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record — 390% No$3.3K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
More in Science
- 1Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?9%Yes2 pts
- 2Hurricane Fay category?: Will Fay become a Category 1 hurricane? Category 1 or above2%Category 1 or above3 pts
- 3Hurricane Nolo category?: Will Nolo become a Category 5 hurricane? Category 5 or above2%Category 5 or above1 pts
- 4IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?4%Yes1 pts
- 5Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?20%Yes8 pts
As of Sep 29, 10:37 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.