Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record — 6 or lower

92%Yes

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 6 outcomes

24h volume$3

Total volume$2.1K

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months

First seenSep 13, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Opinion · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Opinion. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	92.4¢*	108	$108	+$8.23 1.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record — 6 or lower
100% No$3 24h volume
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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record — 6 or lower

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Science

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Science