KalshiOpen

Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?: Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?

Before 203067%

No33%

Price checked at Sep 30, 06:21 AM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread7%

ResolvesJan 1, 2030in 3 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Only a game played after Issuance counts.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?: Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2029?	Kalshi	51% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?: Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2027?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?: Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2028?	Kalshi	74% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 06:59 AM UTC