Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?: Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2027?
2%Before 2027
0 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$0
Total volume$4.7K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2030in 3 years
First seenSep 24, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiWill an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?: Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2027?98% No$0 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Sep 29, 10:27 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.