PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Cameron Norrie (-1.5) vs Matteo Arnaldi (+1.5)

Matteo Arnaldi56%
Cameron Norrie45%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$17.6K
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 12:50 PMOct 31, 10:13 PMNov 1, 07:35 AMNov 1, 04:57 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Matteo Arnaldi in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Cameron Norrie" if Cameron Norrie wins by 2 or more sets than Matteo Arnaldi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Matteo Arnaldi." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Cameron Norrie can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Matteo Arnaldi." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket68% Cameron NorrieOpen
Rolex Paris Masters: Completed Match: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket51% YesOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket50% Matteo ArnaldiOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Cameron Norrie (-1.5) vs Matteo Arnaldi (+1.5)Polymarket59% Cameron NorrieOpen
Set 1 Winner: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket64% Cameron NorrieOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Cameron Norrie vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket79% OverOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket75% OverOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Nov 1, 05:45 PM UTC