PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Cameron Norrie (-1.5) vs Matteo Arnaldi (+1.5)

Cameron Norrie52%
Matteo Arnaldi48%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$826
Spread53%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 12:50 PMOct 31, 09:33 PMNov 1, 06:16 AMNov 1, 03:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Cameron Norrie" if Cameron Norrie wins 1.5 or more total games than Matteo Arnaldi in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Matteo Arnaldi". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Cameron Norrie could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Matteo Arnaldi". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket67% Cameron NorrieOpen
Rolex Paris Masters: Completed Match: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket51% YesOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket50% Matteo ArnaldiOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket64% Cameron NorrieOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Cameron Norrie vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Cameron Norrie (-1.5) vs Matteo Arnaldi (+1.5)Polymarket56% Matteo ArnaldiOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 1, 03:49 PM UTC