Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi

Cameron Norrie67%
Matteo Arnaldi33%

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24h volume$3.1K
7d volume$3.1K
30d volume$3.1K
Liquidity$19.1K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 12:47 PMOct 31, 09:11 PMNov 1, 05:35 AMNov 1, 02:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Matteo Arnaldi in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cameron Norrie' if Cameron Norrie advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Cameron Norrie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published criteria are materially the same on both venues, including the same ATP-based resolution rules and the same cutoff for unresolved matches. One venue publishes a resolvesAt timestamp and the other does not, but that does not change the question asked.
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi

    This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Matteo Arnaldi in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cameron Norrie' if Cameron Norrie advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Cameron Norrie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

  • Polymarketthis market

    Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi

    This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Matteo Arnaldi in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cameron Norrie' if Cameron Norrie advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Cameron Norrie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Rolex Paris Masters: Completed Match: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket51% YesOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket50% Matteo ArnaldiOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Cameron Norrie (-1.5) vs Matteo Arnaldi (+1.5)Polymarket52% Cameron NorrieOpen
Set 1 Winner: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket64% Cameron NorrieOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Cameron Norrie vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Cameron Norrie (-1.5) vs Matteo Arnaldi (+1.5)Polymarket56% Matteo ArnaldiOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 1, 02:19 PM UTC