PolymarketOpen

Set 2 Winner: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi50%
Cameron Norrie50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$65
Spread96%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 12:49 PMOct 31, 09:13 PMNov 1, 05:36 AMNov 1, 02:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Matteo Arnaldi in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Cameron Norrie” if Cameron Norrie wins set 2. It will resolve to “Matteo Arnaldi” if Matteo Arnaldi wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket67% Cameron NorrieOpen
Rolex Paris Masters: Completed Match: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket51% YesOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Cameron Norrie (-1.5) vs Matteo Arnaldi (+1.5)Polymarket52% Cameron NorrieOpen
Set 1 Winner: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket64% Cameron NorrieOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Cameron Norrie vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Cameron Norrie (-1.5) vs Matteo Arnaldi (+1.5)Polymarket56% Matteo ArnaldiOpen
Norrie vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 1, 02:21 PM UTC