Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d'Or 2026?

Yes72%
No28%

Price checked at

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24h volume$53.4K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$974
Spread—
ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 11 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 12Oct 16Oct 21Oct 25

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Settles Yes if Harry Kane (Bayern Munich, England) is named the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2026 by France Football. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.

SourceFrance Football

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Outcome settles 2026-11-05, Polymarket US settles 2026-11-10; both reference the award announced October 26, 2026. Outcome specifies Bayern Munich and England affiliation; Polymarket US provides no affiliation criteria. These differences do not materially affect resolution of the same event.
  • Outcomethis market

    Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d'Or 2026?

    Settles Yes if Harry Kane (Bayern Munich, England) is named the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2026 by France Football. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.

    read Oct 25, 05:58 PM UTC

  • Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Harry Kane

    This market will settle to Yes if Harry Kane wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or awarded on October 26, 2026. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

    read Oct 25, 09:04 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome89% NoOpen
Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome83% NoOpen
Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome100% NoOpen
Will Ousmane Dembele win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome100% NoOpen
Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome100% NoOpen
Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 06:08 PM UTC