Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d'Or 2026?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Settles Yes if Lionel Messi (Inter Miami, Argentina) is named the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2026 by France Football. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.
SourceFrance Football
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry it
this marketWill Lionel Messi win the Ballon d'Or 2026?
Settles Yes if Lionel Messi (Inter Miami, Argentina) is named the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2026 by France Football. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.
read Oct 24, 02:43 PM UTC
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Lionel Messi
This market will settle to Yes if Lionel Messi wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or awarded on October 26, 2026. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
read Oct 24, 10:23 AM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d'Or 2026? | Outcome | 72% Yes | Open |
| Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d'Or 2026? | Outcome | 82% No | Open |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d'Or 2026? | Outcome | 92% No | Open |
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the Ballon d'Or 2026? | Outcome | 100% No | Open |
| Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d'Or 2026? | Outcome | 100% No | Open |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d'Or 2026? | Outcome | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 41 minutes agoDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 24, 03:24 PM UTC