Polymarket USOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Lionel Messi

Yes—

No—

Price checked at Oct 24, 01:24 PM UTC

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24h volume$24.7K

7d volume—

30d volume—

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ResolvesNov 10, 2026in 17 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Lionel Messi wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or awarded on October 26, 2026. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Resolution dates differ slightly (Outcome: Nov 5, 2026 vs Polymarket: Nov 10, 2026), likely reflecting different publication timing assumptions around the October 26, 2026 award announcement. Both cite France Football as the authoritative source; Polymarket's criteria mention 'relevant governing body' while Outcome explicitly names France Football, but this describes the same fact.

Open
Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d'Or 2026?
Settles Yes if Lionel Messi (Inter Miami, Argentina) is named the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2026 by France Football. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.
read Oct 24, 01:38 PM UTC
this market
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Lionel Messi
This market will settle to Yes if Lionel Messi wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or awarded on October 26, 2026. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
read Oct 24, 10:23 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Lamine Yamal	PolymarketUs	92% No	$94.6K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Harry Kane	PolymarketUs	65% Yes	$83.6K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Kylian Mbappe	PolymarketUs	75% No	$37.1K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Rodri	PolymarketUs	—	$3.1K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Michael Olise	PolymarketUs	—	$1.5K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	PolymarketUs	—	$1.2K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Ousmane Dembele	PolymarketUs	—	$1.2K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Erling Haaland	PolymarketUs	—	$572	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Vitinha	PolymarketUs	—	$30	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Declan Rice	PolymarketUs	—	$22	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Bruno Fernandes	PolymarketUs	—	$3	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 hours ago

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As of Oct 24, 01:48 PM UTC