Polymarket USOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Harry Kane

Yes72%

No29%

Price checked at Oct 25, 11:28 AM UTC

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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$124K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 10, 2026in 16 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Harry Kane wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or awarded on October 26, 2026. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question

Comparable, not identical. Outcome settles 2026-11-05, Polymarket US settles 2026-11-10; both reference the award announced October 26, 2026. Outcome specifies Bayern Munich and England affiliation; Polymarket US provides no affiliation criteria. These differences do not materially affect resolution of the same event.

Open
Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d'Or 2026?
Settles Yes if Harry Kane (Bayern Munich, England) is named the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2026 by France Football. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.
read Oct 25, 11:26 AM UTC
this market
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Harry Kane
This market will settle to Yes if Harry Kane wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or awarded on October 26, 2026. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
read Oct 25, 09:04 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Lamine Yamal	PolymarketUs	88% No	$101.1K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Kylian Mbappe	PolymarketUs	82% No	$65.7K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Lionel Messi	PolymarketUs	—	$27.1K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Rodri	PolymarketUs	—	$3.2K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Michael Olise	PolymarketUs	—	$1.5K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	PolymarketUs	—	$1.2K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Ousmane Dembele	PolymarketUs	—	$1.2K	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Erling Haaland	PolymarketUs	—	$618	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Vitinha	PolymarketUs	—	$47	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Declan Rice	PolymarketUs	—	$22	—	—	Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Bruno Fernandes	PolymarketUs	—	$3	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 hours ago

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As of Oct 25, 11:32 AM UTC