Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d'Or 2026?

No99%
Yes1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Liquidity$3
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ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 12 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 11Oct 16Oct 20Oct 24

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Settles Yes if Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid, England) is named the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2026 by France Football. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.

SourceFrance Football

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Pascal provides no explicit resolution criteria and sources to Polymarket; Gemini specifies France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports; Outcome specifies France Football only. Settlement dates span Oct 28–Nov 5, 2026. These procedural differences do not change the underlying question.
  • 2026 Ballon d'Or winner: Jude Bellingham

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 24, 03:09 PM UTC

  • Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Jude Bellingham

    If Jude Bellingham wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

    read Oct 23, 12:54 PM UTC

  • Outcomethis market

    Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d'Or 2026?

    Settles Yes if Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid, England) is named the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2026 by France Football. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.

    read Oct 24, 03:52 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome71% YesOpen
Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome82% NoOpen
Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome91% NoOpen
Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome99% NoOpen
Will Ousmane Dembele win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome100% NoOpen
Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome100% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 04:26 PM UTC