Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Jude Bellingham

No99%
Yes1%

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ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 8Oct 13Oct 19Oct 25

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Jude Bellingham wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Pascal provides no explicit resolution criteria and sources to Polymarket; Gemini specifies France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports; Outcome specifies France Football only. Settlement dates span Oct 28–Nov 5, 2026. These procedural differences do not change the underlying question.
  • 2026 Ballon d'Or winner: Jude Bellingham

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 25, 10:03 AM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Jude Bellingham

    If Jude Bellingham wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

    read Oct 23, 12:54 PM UTC

  • Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d'Or 2026?

    Settles Yes if Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid, England) is named the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2026 by France Football. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.

    read Oct 25, 10:24 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Harry KaneGemini79% YesOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Lionel MessiGemini95% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Lautaro MartinezGemini98% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Khvicha KvaratskheliaGemini99% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Lamine YamalGemini78% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Luis DiazGemini98% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — RodriGemini—Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Kylian MbappeGemini80% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Ousmane DembeleGemini99% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Declan RiceGemini99% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Bruno FernandesGemini99% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — VitinhaGemini99% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Nuno MendesGemini99% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Erling HaalandGemini99% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Cristiano RonaldoGemini100% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Bukayo SakaGemini100% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Vinicius JuniorGemini99% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Mohamed SalahGemini100% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Desire DoueGemini100% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Gianluigi DonnarummaGemini100% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Rayan CherkiGemini100% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — RaphinhaGemini100% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Scott McTominayGemini100% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Marcus RashfordGemini100% NoOpen
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Phil FodenGemini100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 10:27 AM UTC