GeminiOpen

Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Vinicius Junior

No99%

Yes1%

Price checked at Oct 25, 01:31 AM UTC

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ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Vinicius Junior wins the Ballon d'Or this year, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from France Football, ESPN, and FOX Sports. Read the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fe0b2b64455004337b75fd0622a222d43?alt=media&token=dda6c865-c0e4-4ffe-9a1a-1a76c4a0af90&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Harry Kane	Gemini	79% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Lionel Messi	Gemini	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Lautaro Martinez	Gemini	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	Gemini	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Lamine Yamal	Gemini	78% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Luis Diaz	Gemini	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Rodri	Gemini	—	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Kylian Mbappe	Gemini	80% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Ousmane Dembele	Gemini	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Declan Rice	Gemini	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Bruno Fernandes	Gemini	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Vitinha	Gemini	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Jude Bellingham	Gemini	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Nuno Mendes	Gemini	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Erling Haaland	Gemini	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Cristiano Ronaldo	Gemini	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Bukayo Saka	Gemini	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Mohamed Salah	Gemini	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Desire Doue	Gemini	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Gianluigi Donnarumma	Gemini	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Rayan Cherki	Gemini	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Raphinha	Gemini	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Scott McTominay	Gemini	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Marcus Rashford	Gemini	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year? — Phil Foden	Gemini	100% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

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As of Oct 25, 01:42 AM UTC