OutcomeOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d'Or 2026?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Oct 24, 11:54 PM UTC

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24h volume$3.2K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$2

Spread—

ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 12 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Settles Yes if Erling Haaland (Manchester City, Norway) is named the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2026 by France Football. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.

SourceFrance Football

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Settlement dates differ slightly: PolymarketUs resolves November 10, 2026 versus Outcome's November 5, 2026. Both dates follow the October 26 award announcement, reflecting only procedural timing differences in how each venue publishes resolution; the underlying question and fact source are identical.

Open
Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Erling Haaland
This market will settle to Yes if Erling Haaland wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or awarded on October 26, 2026. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
read Oct 24, 11:18 AM UTC
this market
Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d'Or 2026?
Settles Yes if Erling Haaland (Manchester City, Norway) is named the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2026 by France Football. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.
read Oct 24, 11:54 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d'Or 2026?	Outcome	70% Yes	$78.7K	—	—	Open
Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d'Or 2026?	Outcome	83% No	$18.8K	—	—	Open
Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d'Or 2026?	Outcome	88% No	$15.7K	—	—	Open
Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d'Or 2026?	Outcome	99% No	$3.6K	—	—	Open
Will Ousmane Dembele win the Ballon d'Or 2026?	Outcome	100% No	$3.2K	—	—	Open
Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d'Or 2026?	Outcome	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 minutes ago

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As of Oct 25, 12:02 AM UTC