Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d'Or 2026?
0%Yes
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
The field · 6 outcomes
24h volume$2K
Total volume$19.1K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 12 days
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Outcome · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Outcome. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Best payout | 0.4¢* | 25,707 | $25,707 | +$25,607 257× |
 | 2¢ | 5,000 | $5,000 | +$4,900 50× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Erling Haaland$572 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
- Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d'Or 2026?100% No$1.4K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 02:50 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.