Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d'Or 2026?
17%Yes
9 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 2 of 2 venues
The field · 6 outcomes
24h volume$51.8K
Total volume$701.3K
Markets22 venues, 2 priced
ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 12 days
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket US · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best payout | 6¢ | 1,667 | $1,667 | +$1,567 16.7× |
| 16.2¢* | 617 | $617 | +$517 6.2× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Kylian Mbappe82% No$37.1K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
- Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d'Or 2026?84% No$14.7K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 02:49 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.