Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d'Or 2026?

17%Yes
9 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 2 of 2 venues

The field · 6 outcomes

  1. Harry Kane71%6
  2. Kylian Mbappe · this question17%9
  3. Lamine Yamal11%6
  4. Lionel Messi1%0
  5. Erling Haaland<1%0
  6. Ousmane Dembele<1%0
24h volume$51.8K
Total volume$701.3K
Markets22 venues, 2 priced
ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 12 days
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24Up 9 points on Oct 24
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket USBest payout6¢1,667$1,667+$1,567 16.7×
Outcome16.2¢*617$617+$517 6.2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 02:49 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.