Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d'Or 2026?

No81%
Yes19%

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24h volume$15.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$104
Spread—
ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 12 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 11Oct 16Oct 20Oct 24

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Settles Yes if Kylian Mbappe (Real Madrid, France) is named the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2026 by France Football. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.

SourceFrance Football

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Resolution dates differ slightly: PolymarketUs settles 2026-11-10, while Outcome settles 2026-11-05. Both allow sufficient time after the October 26 announcement for confirmation. PolymarketUs references "the relevant governing body" while Outcome explicitly names France Football; these identify the same authoritative source.
  • Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner: Kylian Mbappe

    This market will settle to Yes if Kylian Mbappe wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or awarded on October 26, 2026. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

    read Oct 24, 11:13 AM UTC

  • Outcomethis market

    Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d'Or 2026?

    Settles Yes if Kylian Mbappe (Real Madrid, France) is named the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2026 by France Football. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.

    read Oct 24, 04:51 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome71% YesOpen
Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome91% NoOpen
Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome99% NoOpen
Will Ousmane Dembele win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome100% NoOpen
Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome100% NoOpen
Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d'Or 2026?Outcome99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 05:02 PM UTC