Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 7, 2026?

2%Yes

16 ptsover 24h

The field · 31 outcomes

24h volume$560

Total volume$721

Liquidity$334

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 7 days

First seenOct 28, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	4.2¢	2,381	$2,381	+$2,281 23.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 7, 2026?
98% No$560 24h volume
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Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 7, 2026?

Probability history

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Probability history

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Where this question trades

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