Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 12, 2026?

7%Yes

27 ptsover 24h

The field · 31 outcomes

24h volume$355

Total volume$678

Liquidity$500

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 13, 2026in 12 days

First seenOct 28, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	12¢	833	$833	+$733 8.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 12, 2026?
93% No$355 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Search

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 12, 2026?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in AI

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in AI