Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 4, 2026?

3%Yes

2 ptsover 24h

The field · 31 outcomes

24h volume$42

Total volume$204

Liquidity$195

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 4 days

First seenOct 28, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	5¢	2,000	$2,000	+$1,900 20×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 4, 2026?
97% No$42 24h volume
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Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 4, 2026?

Probability history

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Probability history

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Where this question trades

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