Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by December 31, 2026?

83%Yes

7 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

24h volume$2.5K

Total volume$3.3K

Liquidity$15.1K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

First seenOct 30, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	85¢	118	$118	+$17.65 1.2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

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Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by December 31, 2026?
83% Yes$2.5K 24h volume
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Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by December 31, 2026?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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