US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
60%Yes
1 ptsover 24h
The field · 9 outcomes
24h volume$21.2K
Total volume$125.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 16 days
First seenOct 14, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 61¢ | 164 | $164 | +$63.93 1.6× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?60% Yes$21.2K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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- 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?87%Yes4 pts
As of Oct 24, 12:01 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.