U.S.–Iran ceasefire continues through: Nov 15

49%Yes

3 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

24h volume$8613 trades

Total volume$4.8K

Liquidity$13.5K

Open interest$71

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 15, 2026in 14 days

First seenOct 14, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Pascal · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Pascal. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	49.9¢	200	$200	+$100 2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

U.S.–Iran ceasefire continues through: Nov 15
51% No$86 24h volume
Resolution rules
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U.S.–Iran ceasefire continues through: Nov 15

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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