U.S.–Iran ceasefire continues through: Dec 31

25%Yes

3 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

24h volume$1.2K48 trades

Total volume$18K

Liquidity$194

Open interest$5.3K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months

First seenOct 1, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Pascal · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Pascal. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	25.1¢	398	$398	+$298 4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

U.S.–Iran ceasefire continues through: Dec 31
75% No$1.2K 24h volume
Resolution rules
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U.S.–Iran ceasefire continues through: Dec 31

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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