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World🇮🇱Israel🇮🇷IranIsraelIran

Israel–Iran ceasefire continues through: Oct 31

99%Yes
↑1 ptsover 24h

The field · 4 outcomes

  1. Oct 31 · this question99%↑1
  2. Nov 1568%↑3
  3. Nov 3053%↑1
  4. Dec 3137%↓2
24h volume$00 trades
Total volume$19.1K
Liquidity$36.9K
Open interest$4.2K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 31, 202614 hours ago
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0
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As of Nov 1, 10:14 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

Market cap:$2.06B24h vol:$289.7MQuestions:355,446Resolving today:2,141Venues:15
Fear & Greed55 · GreedLive
@onPredxy

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Pascal · All recorded history
Open the market →

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 9Oct 17Oct 24Nov 1

Based on market prices from Pascal. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees
$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Pascal99.8¢100$100+$0.20 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue
Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  • Pascal
    Israel–Iran ceasefire continues through: Oct 31
    99% Yes$0 24h volume
    Resolution rules →
    Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

More in World

View category →
  1. 1Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
    5%Yes↓1 pts
  2. 2Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
    12%Yes→0 pts
  3. 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    18%Yes→0 pts
  4. 4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
    94%Yes↑5 pts
  5. 5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?
    97%Yes↑2 pts
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Market prices are not certainties.

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