Israel–Iran ceasefire continues through: Dec 31

37%Yes

2 ptsover 24h

The field · 4 outcomes

24h volume$5411 trades

Total volume$1.8K

Liquidity$723

Open interest$137

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months

First seenOct 1, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Pascal · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Pascal. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	37.6¢	266	$266	+$166 2.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Israel–Iran ceasefire continues through: Dec 31
63% No$54 24h volume
Resolution rules
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Israel–Iran ceasefire continues through: Dec 31

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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