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WorldSaudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?

14%Yes
4 ptsover 24h

The field · 21 outcomes

  1. October 598%1
  2. October 896%2
  3. October 492%0
  4. October 2182%10
  5. October 1864%4
  6. October 2459%5
  7. October 2749%8
  8. October 2949%8
  9. October 2848%8
  10. October 2544%11
  11. October 3039%14
  12. October 3138%15
24h volume$40
Total volume$2.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 3, 202622 days ago
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Down 50 points on Oct 2Up 32 points on Oct 5Up 26 points on Oct 15Down 23 points on Oct 16Up 25 points on Oct 17
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket35¢286$286+$186 2.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  4. 4US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
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  5. 5NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
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As of Oct 25, 12:41 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.