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WorldSaudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?

92%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 21 outcomes

  1. October 598%1
  2. October 896%2
  3. October 4 · this question92%0
  4. October 2176%15
  5. October 1864%4
  6. October 2460%16
  7. October 2655%7
  8. October 2550%20
  9. October 2749%0
  10. October 2949%0
  11. October 2848%0
  12. October 3139%0
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 5, 202620 days ago
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Down 71 points on Oct 3Up 28 points on Oct 7Down 45 points on Oct 8Up 35 points on Oct 9Down 31 points on Oct 11
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket96¢104$104+$4.17 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

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  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes36 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    79%Yes1 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    8%Yes17 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    18%Yes24 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    88%Yes5 pts

As of Oct 24, 06:24 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.