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WorldSaudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 8?

97%Yes
2 ptsover 24h

The field · 21 outcomes

  1. October 2199%11
  2. October 598%2
  3. October 8 · this question97%2
  4. October 492%1
  5. October 1877%17
  6. October 2260%1
  7. October 2552%30
  8. October 3150%11
  9. October 2849%0
  10. October 3049%10
  11. October 2749%0
  12. October 2949%0
24h volume$400
Total volume$1.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 9, 202615 days ago
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Down 19 points on Oct 2Up 17 points on Oct 3Down 14 points on Oct 5Down 47 points on Oct 8
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket96.4¢104$104+$3.73 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    19%Yes15 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    87%Yes4 pts

As of Oct 24, 12:12 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.