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WorldSaudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5?

98%Yes
1 ptsover 24h

The field · 21 outcomes

  1. October 5 · this question98%1
  2. October 896%2
  3. October 492%0
  4. October 2179%12
  5. October 1864%4
  6. October 2460%16
  7. October 2849%7
  8. October 2749%0
  9. October 2949%0
  10. October 3139%0
  11. October 3039%0
  12. October 2533%3
24h volume$53
Total volume$663
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 6, 202619 days ago
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Up 19 points on Oct 2Up 28 points on Oct 3Down 32 points on Oct 4Up 22 points on Oct 5Up 21 points on Oct 7
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket99.7¢100$100+$0.30 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  4. 4US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
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  5. 5Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
    6%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 24, 08:26 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.