Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 28?

24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 29, 2026in 4 days
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Up 18 points on Oct 2Up 8 points on Oct 23Down 8 points on Oct 24
β–²β–Ό a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket93Β’108$108+$7.53 1.1Γ—

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes29 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    82%Yes6 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    19%Yes29 pts
  4. 4US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    90%Yes9 pts
  5. 5Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
    6%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 24, 08:28 PM UTC Β· Market prices are not certainties.