PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex de Minaur (+1.5)

Carlos Alcaraz73%
Alex de Minaur28%

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24h volume$597
7d volume$597
30d volume$597
Liquidity$45.9K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 10:46 PMNov 1, 04:00 AMNov 1, 09:13 AMNov 1, 02:26 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 31 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Carlos Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins by 2 or more sets than Alex de Minaur, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alex de Minaur." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Carlos Alcaraz can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Alex de Minaur." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket92% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket75% UnderOpen
Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket54% YesOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Alex de Minaur vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket66% Under 2.5Open
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket72% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket73% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket76% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket75% OverOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket74% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 1, 03:37 PM UTC