Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Alex de Minaur” if Alex de Minaur wins the first set. It will resolve to “Carlos Alcaraz” if Carlos Alcaraz wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz | Polymarket | 92% Carlos Alcaraz | Open |
| Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 75% Under | Open |
| Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex de Minaur (+1.5) | Polymarket | 73% Carlos Alcaraz | Open |
| Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz | Polymarket | 54% Yes | Open |
| Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under | Open |
| Alex de Minaur vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 66% Under 2.5 | Open |
| Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 72% Over | Open |
| Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under | Open |
| Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz | Polymarket | 76% Carlos Alcaraz | Open |
| Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 75% Over | Open |
| Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 74% Under | Open |
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As of Nov 1, 04:06 PM UTC