PolymarketOpen

Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz

Yes54%
No46%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1
Spread88%
ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 11:48 PMNov 1, 05:12 AMNov 1, 10:36 AMNov 1, 04:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Nov 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket92% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket75% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex de Minaur (+1.5)Polymarket73% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Alex de Minaur vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket66% Under 2.5Open
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket72% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket73% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket76% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket75% OverOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket74% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 1, 04:43 PM UTC