PolymarketOpen

Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz92%
Alex de Minaur8%

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24h volume$10K
7d volume$10K
30d volume$10K
Liquidity$68.5K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 11:48 PMNov 1, 05:32 AMNov 1, 11:16 AMNov 1, 05:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Nov 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket75% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex de Minaur (+1.5)Polymarket73% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket54% YesOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Alex de Minaur vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket66% Under 2.5Open
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket72% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket73% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket76% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket75% OverOpen
Minaur vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket74% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 1, 05:50 PM UTC