PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Sebastian Baez (-1.5) vs Tomas Machac (+1.5)

Tomas Machac90%
Sebastian Baez11%

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24h volume$9
7d volume$9
30d volume$9
Liquidity$4.6K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 07:46 PMNov 1, 03:11 AMNov 1, 10:35 AMNov 1, 06:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Tomas Machac in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sebastian Baez" if Sebastian Baez wins by 2 or more sets than Tomas Machac, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tomas Machac." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Sebastian Baez can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Tomas Machac." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas MachacPolymarket83% Tomas MachacOpen
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Completed Match: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas MachacPolymarket52% YesOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Tomas Machac (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)Polymarket61% Tomas MachacOpen
Game Spread: Tomas Machac (-4.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+4.5)Polymarket53% Tomas MachacOpen
Set 1 Winner: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas MachacPolymarket75% Tomas MachacOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket76% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas MachacPolymarket59% Sebastian BaezOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Sebastian Baez vs. Tomas Machac: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket69% Under 2.5Open
Baez vs. Machac: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket63% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 1, 06:50 PM UTC