PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac75%
Sebastian Baez26%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$8.3K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 07:46 PMNov 1, 03:10 AMNov 1, 10:35 AMNov 1, 06:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Tomas Machac in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Sebastian Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins the first set. It will resolve to “Tomas Machac” if Tomas Machac wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas MachacPolymarket83% Tomas MachacOpen
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Completed Match: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas MachacPolymarket52% YesOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Tomas Machac (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)Polymarket61% Tomas MachacOpen
Set Handicap: Sebastian Baez (-1.5) vs Tomas Machac (+1.5)Polymarket90% Tomas MachacOpen
Game Spread: Tomas Machac (-4.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+4.5)Polymarket53% Tomas MachacOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket76% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas MachacPolymarket59% Sebastian BaezOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Sebastian Baez vs. Tomas Machac: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket69% Under 2.5Open
Baez vs. Machac: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket63% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 1, 06:43 PM UTC