PolymarketOpen

Baez vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Under76%
Over24%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$305
Spread4%
ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 07:46 PMNov 1, 03:11 AMNov 1, 10:35 AMNov 1, 06:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Tomas Machac in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas MachacPolymarket83% Tomas MachacOpen
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Completed Match: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas MachacPolymarket52% YesOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Tomas Machac (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)Polymarket61% Tomas MachacOpen
Set Handicap: Sebastian Baez (-1.5) vs Tomas Machac (+1.5)Polymarket90% Tomas MachacOpen
Game Spread: Tomas Machac (-4.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+4.5)Polymarket53% Tomas MachacOpen
Set 1 Winner: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas MachacPolymarket75% Tomas MachacOpen
Set 2 Winner: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas MachacPolymarket59% Sebastian BaezOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Sebastian Baez vs. Tomas Machac: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket69% Under 2.5Open
Baez vs. Machac: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket63% UnderOpen
Baez vs. Machac: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 1, 06:50 PM UTC