Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

No98%
Colleen Hardwick2%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 17, 2026in 17 days

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Colleen Hardwick wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves based primarily on credible reporting, with Vancouver’s official information used for ambiguity and a June 30, 2027 fallback; Kalshi may resolve early after designated media sources declare a winner. Polymarket’s outcomes are Yes/No, while Kalshi labels the positive outcome “Colleen Hardwick” rather than “Yes.”
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

    The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

    44 holders · 5 comments · read Sep 27, 03:03 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

    If Colleen Hardwick wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

    read Sep 29, 10:12 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 30, 04:02 AM UTC