KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

No73%

Ken Sim27%

Price checked at Sep 30, 01:06 AM UTC

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24h volume$21.7

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread2%

ResolvesOct 17, 2026in 18 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Ken Sim wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves by June 30, 2027 if the result remains unknown and specifies credible reporting with Vancouver official information as a fallback; Kalshi may resolve early based on designated media consensus and otherwise resolves around the election date. These are resolution-rule differences for the same underlying fact.

PolymarketOpen →
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
85 holders · 5 comments · read Sep 27, 09:22 AM UTC
Kalshithis market
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
If Ken Sim wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 10:34 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Kalshi	71% Pete Fry	$4.8	—	—	Open
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Gölök Z. Buday win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Muhammad Ahmad win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Stephanie Allen win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Kalshi	91% No	$0	—	—	Open
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Kalshi	92% No	$0	—	—	Open
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 hours ago

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As of Sep 30, 01:32 AM UTC