Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

No92%
Rebecca Bligh8%

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ResolvesOct 17, 2026in 18 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Rebecca Bligh wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves using credible reporting, with Vancouver’s official information controlling ambiguity and a June 30, 2027 fallback; Kalshi may resolve early based on designated media consensus. Polymarket is scheduled to resolve later than Kalshi, but both concern the same election result.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

    The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

    53 holders · 5 comments · read Sep 29, 11:24 PM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

    If Rebecca Bligh wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

    read Sep 29, 10:36 PM UTC

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As of Sep 30, 12:41 AM UTC